OVP Blog
Friday, May 28, 2010
Vitamin, Aspirin or Vaccine?
I'm in the middle of due diligence on a Portland software start-up (Prolifiq) that did a very nice, crisp job when they presented to my partnership in describing their value proposition.  With their permission, I thought I'd pass along a framework they used in case it is helpful to any of you.
 
They laid out the possible reasons customers might buy a product such as theirs as "vitamin, aspirin, or vaccine."  Is it something to help you do better (a vitamin), something to take away current pain (an aspirin), or something to avoid serious pain later (a vaccine)?  In many ways, this mirrors the way we think about how compelling a start-up may be on the "nice to have - have to have" continuum, but with more specific descriptions.
 
While they didn't make the point explicitly, it is clear that most of the time people will pay more for aspirin than for vitamins, and that if the risk of future pain is high enough, may pay the most for vaccines.  I must admit, our bias has always been to invest in companies more on the aspirin dimension, since corporate budgets seem to flow better to current pain, than potential pain or potential gain. However, in business segments where regulatory risk rears its head, a vaccine may be just as powerful to dislodge budget dollars.
 
Now, given how clever the Prolifiq team is, they managed to make the case (still to be verified during my diligence calls) that they are essentially all three, depending on the customer's need set. Nice work if you can get it!  "Less Filling.  Tastes Great! Gives a Great Buzz!"
 
For most start-ups, your products probably hit just one of the dimensions.  But, as long as you understand which one is your primary value, you can focus on how that flavor of budget dollars gets released, and how you get to stand at the head of the line when they do.  Then, if you can articulate that to your friendly local VC, you'll have a much better chance of convincing us you are in the "have to have" category - regardless of vitamin, aspirin or vaccine.
Posted by Gerry Langeler
 
Friday, May 21, 2010
In Defense of Carried Interest
We recently authored an article for the New York Times "Dealbook" section on the proposed change in tax treatment for partnership "carried interest". It created a fair amount of comment and controversy.  So, in case you didn't see it, here's the link to the piece and the flurry of responses it triggered.
Posted by Gerry Langeler
 
Thursday, May 13, 2010
What Do VCs Do All Day?
A couple of weeks ago, I was a guest lecturer at an entrepreneurship class at one of our major state universities.  I covered the usual topics (the four risks of a startup and how VCs evaluate against those criteria), etc.  But at the end of class, a student came up to me and asked an unusual question.  He said, "So, now I know more about how you decide on which startups to back.  But, more generally, what do you do?  What does a typical day or week look like?"
 
It struck me that he probably isn't the only person with that question, as VC-land is a foggy land to many folks.  In addition, I think those that love to bash VCs (OK, sometimes we deserve it) or minimize the value of taking VC money, might curb their enthusiasm if they knew what we actually did all day.  Or maybe not, but I'll let you make the call.
 
So, let's run through the first couple days of this week:
 
Posted by Gerry Langeler
 
Monday, May 03, 2010
Time to chill the champagne?

OK, it's certainly premature to open the bubbly at this point.  But given all that we see, maybe it wouldn't be a bad idea to get one of those bottles chilling for later.

Across our portfolio and with conversations with our colleagues in other venture funds, there is a steady, rising drumbeat of, "Hey, things are feeling better...in some cases much better!"  We're seeing increased customer activity across our companies. Budgets that were frozen in late 2008 and stayed that way in 2009 are starting to loosen up.  A couple of our companies are actually ahead of plan for the year so far (unheard of in 2008 & 2009).

In the last six months, we've seen the return of investment bankers on our calendar (for the past few years we've thought of them as unicorns, cute but imaginary beasts).  They see a recovery in the economy, bulging corporate balance sheets, and investor cash on the sidelines all pointing to a release of pent up demand for products, companies, and public stock offerings.  Are they right?  Are we right?  Time will tell...but as of this time, it feels SO much better than it did even three months ago that we have to believe better times are not just ahead, but with us already.

 The data below point to how hard and fast the fall was in the second half of 2008, and it appears a sustainable upslope forming now.

 

vc_trends_2010_600px.jpg

Posted by Gerry Langeler